Boxoffy Confidence Model · Live

The Boxoffy Hype Index

Pre-release box office forecasts for 18 upcoming Indian films, ranked by anticipated theatrical performance. Powered by BCM — Boxoffy's internal forecasting framework. Day 1 ranges, confidence reads, and the Hype Score. No PR fluff, no fan service.

18
Films Tracked
2
High Hype (≥60)
46.4
Average Hype Score

At a Glance

All upcoming releases ranked by Hype Score. Click any title to jump to the full card.

#FilmDaysD1 RangeTierHype
1VaranasiT-344₹95.0–235.0ATB Watch64.5
2RamayanaT-197₹44.1–189.4ATB Watch62.5
3Love & WarT-268₹28.0–62.0Blockbuster58.5
4PeddiT-58₹37.0–170.7Blockbuster57.0
53 Idiots 2 NEWT-360₹25.0–60.0ATB Watch56.0
6KingT-242₹36.2–87.3Blockbuster52.0
7Ranveer × Aditya Dhar (Untitled) NEWT-722₹25.0–50.0ATB Watch52.0
8Raja Shivaji 📅T-3₹6.5–18.0ATB Watch51.0
9Avengers: DoomsdayT-234₹11.4–96.6Hit48.0
10Bhediya 2T-108₹9.9–72.3Hit47.0
11Pati Patni Aur Woh DoT-18₹2.4–11.5Average45.5
12Golmaal 5 NEWT-563₹18.0–32.0Hit Watch41.5
13Lahore 1947T-107₹3.7–54.0Average41.0
14Hai Jawani Toh Ishq Hona HaiT-24₹4.5–14.0Average38.5
15Cocktail 2T-52₹2.3–12.6Underperformer36.0
16Ek Din 📅T-3₹1.8–5.5Underperformer32.0
17Awarapan 2T-108₹1.7–6.6Underperformer28.0
18Khosla Ka Ghosla 2T-122₹1.8–7.6Underperformer24.5

Forecast Cards

Every film below ships with the BCM forecast range, confidence read, and tier. Editorial taglines provide context. Methodology stays internal — what you see is what BCM produces, on the public record before each film releases.

#1
on Hype Index

Varanasi

T-minus 344 days to release

Rajamouli + Mahesh Babu + ₹1,200 Cr globe-trotting epic. First Indian film shot in IMAX 1.43:1. Two-part theatrical event.

64.5
EXCEPTIONAL
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹95.0 – ₹235.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
ATB Watch
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#2
on Hype Index

Ramayana

T-minus 197 days to release

Nitesh Tiwari mythological epic — Ranbir as Ram, Sai Pallavi as Sita. Pan-India intent across multiple language tracks. ₹835 Cr budget.

62.5
EXCEPTIONAL
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹44.1 – ₹189.4 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
ATB Watch
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#3
on Hype Index

Love & War

T-minus 268 days to release

SLB returns to triangular romance — Ranbir + Alia + Vicky. Republic Day weekend. Bhansali's first IDay-adjacent release.

58.5
ELEVATED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹28.0 – ₹62.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Blockbuster
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#4
on Hype Index

Peddi

T-minus 58 days to release

Ram Charan post-Game Changer cooldown. Telugu mass tentpole on a holiday window. Buchi Babu Sana directing.

57.0
ELEVATED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹37.0 – ₹170.7 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Blockbuster
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#5
on Hype Index
NEW

3 Idiots 2

T-minus 360 days to release

Aamir Khan + Rajkumar Hirani · 14-year sequel finally moving

56.0
ELEVATED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹25.0 – ₹60.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
ATB Watch
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#6
on Hype Index

King

T-minus 242 days to release

SRK + Suhana + Deepika reunion in Siddharth Anand action. Christmas window. Among the most expensive Hindi films ever attempted.

52.0
ELEVATED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹36.2 – ₹87.3 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Blockbuster
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#7
on Hype Index
NEW

Ranveer × Aditya Dhar (Untitled)

T-minus 722 days to release

Post-Dhurandhar 2 reunion · Just announced

52.0
ELEVATED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹25.0 – ₹50.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
ATB Watch
Confidence
Low Confidence
#8
on Hype Index
📅 RELEASES IN 3 DAYS

Raja Shivaji

T-minus 3 days to release

May 1 · Maharashtra Day · Riteish Marathi epic + Salman cameo

51.0
ELEVATED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹6.5 – ₹18.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
ATB Watch
Confidence
High Confidence
#9
on Hype Index

Avengers: Doomsday

T-minus 234 days to release

Russo Brothers + Robert Downey Jr. as Doom. India market historically peaks for Marvel anchor releases.

48.0
NOTABLE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹11.4 – ₹96.6 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Hit
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#10
on Hype Index

Bhediya 2

T-minus 108 days to release

Maddock Horror Comedy Universe sequel post-Stree 2 ATB. Production status uncertain at filing.

47.0
NOTABLE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹9.9 – ₹72.3 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Hit
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#11
on Hype Index

Pati Patni Aur Woh Do

T-minus 18 days to release

Kartik Aaryan returning to the franchise that broke him. Fatima Sana Shaikh + Ananya Panday.

45.5
NOTABLE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹2.4 – ₹11.5 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Average
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#12
on Hype Index
NEW

Golmaal 5

T-minus 563 days to release

Rohit Shetty franchise revival · Ajay Devgn ensemble

41.5
NOTABLE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹18.0 – ₹32.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Hit Watch
Confidence
Low Confidence
#13
on Hype Index

Lahore 1947

T-minus 107 days to release

Sunny Deol + Aamir Khan production + Rajkumar Santoshi + AR Rahman. Independence Day window.

41.0
NOTABLE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹3.7 – ₹54.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Average
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#14
on Hype Index

Hai Jawani Toh Ishq Hona Hai

T-minus 24 days to release

Varun Dhawan rom-com with father David Dhawan — possibly David's final film. Two-female-lead structure on May 22.

38.5
MODERATE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹4.5 – ₹14.0 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Average
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#15
on Hype Index

Cocktail 2

T-minus 52 days to release

13 years later, fresh ensemble (Shahid + Kriti + Rashmika). Homi Adajania returning.

36.0
MODERATE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹2.3 – ₹12.6 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Underperformer
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#16
on Hype Index
📅 RELEASES IN 3 DAYS

Ek Din

T-minus 3 days to release

Sai Pallavi's Hindi debut + Junaid Khan, directed by Sunil Pandey. Aamir Khan Productions remake of Thai film One Day. Tender, niche.

32.0
MODERATE
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹1.8 – ₹5.5 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Underperformer
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#17
on Hype Index

Awarapan 2

T-minus 108 days to release

19-year sequel. Emraan Hashmi back as Shivam, Disha Patani co-leading.

28.0
MUTED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹1.7 – ₹6.6 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Underperformer
Confidence
Medium Confidence
#18
on Hype Index

Khosla Ka Ghosla 2

T-minus 122 days to release

Sequel to a 2006 cult Hit. Long-gap revival risk.

24.5
MUTED
/ 100
Day 1 Forecast Range
₹1.8 – ₹7.6 Cr
90% confidence interval
Forecast Tier
Underperformer
Confidence
Medium Confidence

How the Hype Index Works

The Hype Score (0–100) is an at-a-glance signal of pre-release momentum. Higher scores indicate films with stronger forecast tiers, more pre-release signal strength, and closer release windows. 70+ flags HIGH HYPE; 50-69 is ELEVATED; 35-49 is MODERATE; below 35 is LOW HYPE. The score reflects pre-release anticipation, not a guaranteed outcome.

The Forecast Range is BCM's calibrated 90% confidence interval for opening day. A real forecast for a film weeks out lives inside a meaningful range, and the range is the honest answer. If a film opens outside the published range, the model was wrong — and we publish that too.

The Confidence Read tells you how much weight to put on the forecast. Films far from release inherently have less reliable signals, so confidence is calibrated against release proximity, signal strength, and the model's internal assessment of how well-anchored the forecast is. A Low confidence forecast is honest signal — it means the model knows the future is uncertain.

Methodology stays internal. BCM is Boxoffy's proprietary forecasting framework, refined over years of tracking Indian box office. We publish the outputs, not the engine. What you can audit is the track record: every film on the Hype Index has its forecast on the public record before release. When the film opens, we publish what BCM called and what actually happened.

What is the Boxoffy Hype Index?

The Boxoffy Hype Index is a 0-100 score that measures pre-release anticipation for upcoming Indian films. It blends the BCM forecast tier, pre-release signal strength, and proximity to release.

Why ranges instead of single numbers?

A point forecast that reads "₹X Cr" sounds precise but isn't. A real forecast for a film weeks out from release lives inside a meaningful range, and the range is the honest answer. A single point estimate hides the uncertainty that's genuinely there.

Why are forecasts often shown with Low confidence?

Confidence reflects how trustworthy the forecast is, not how exciting the film is. Films more than a couple of months from release have inherently less reliable pre-release signals. A Low confidence forecast is honest signal — it tells you the model knows the future is still uncertain.

How will we know if BCM is any good?

By the track record. Every film on the Hype Index has its forecast on the public record before it releases. When the film opens, we publish what BCM called versus what actually happened — the hits, the near-misses, and the embarrassing whiffs. That's the test. Nothing else really matters.